Flood Risk Assessment in Southampton
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A flood risk assessment in Southampton has to start with the tide. The city sits at the head of Southampton Water, where the tidal Test and Itchen meet. About 13% of it lies in Flood Zones 2 and 3, and the council's own flood evidence records no formal raised flood defences along its 35 km of tidal frontage. We prepare flood risk assessments in Southampton for planning applications, property purchases, lenders and insurers, alongside sequential and exception tests and surface water drainage strategies.
On this page, Southampton means the city's built-up area. Beside the Itchen that is the centre, Ocean Village, Northam, Chapel, St Mary's and Bevois Valley, with St Denys, Portswood, Highfield, Bassett and Swaythling further north. Shirley, Millbrook, Redbridge and Lordshill lie towards the Test, and Woolston, Bitterne, Bitterne Park and Sholing across the Itchen, in the SO14, SO15, SO16, SO17, SO18 and SO19 postcode districts. Southampton City Council is both the planning authority and the Lead Local Flood Authority. The rest of the county, from the New Forest to the north Hampshire chalk, is on our Hampshire page.
On a 1 in 200 year tide the sea at Dock Head would reach 3.1 m above Ordnance Datum at 2015 levels and 4.3 m by 2115, while parts of the docks stand as low as 0.5 m. By the end of the century the council expects such a tide to reach much of the city centre and the port.
For a quick view on whether a Southampton site needs a report, ring 01293 214444 or send the address to enquiries@unda.co.uk.
Is Southampton in a flood zone? The tide, two rivers and the brooks
Large parts of it are. The tide is the main source of flooding in Southampton, as high spring tides and Solent surges push up Southampton Water into the Test and Itchen estuaries. The city's double high water holds the sea near its peak for longer, so a surge has more time to coincide with it. Rivers and brooks come second, and surface water can collect almost anywhere in a city this built up.
| Source | Where it reaches | What the record or the SFRA shows |
|---|---|---|
| The tide in the Itchen estuary | Northam, Chapel, St Mary's, Millbank and Crosshouse on the west bank; St Denys and Woodmill upstream; Spitfire Quay and Riverside Park on the east bank | Risk today on both sides of the Itchen north of the Itchen Bridge, with depths of 30 to 60 cm possible in a 1 in 200 year tide, rising to as much as 1.8 m in places by 2120 |
| The tide in the Test estuary and the docks | Town Quay, West Quay Road, Mayflower Park, the Western Docks, Millbrook and Redbridge | Limited overtopping now; Mayflower Park and the ferry terminal at risk by about 2055, and Town Quay and West Quay Road between 2070 and 2085 |
| River Itchen above Woodmill, and Monks Brook | Mansbridge, Woodmill Lane and Swaythling | River flooding upstream of the tidal limit, made worse when high flows meet a high tide at Woodmill; deep water at businesses on Mansbridge Road and Woodmill Lane in the 2013 to 2014 winter |
| Tanners Brook and Holly Brook | Lordshill, Coxford, Shirley and Millbrook down to the Test estuary | Mostly confined to open space today, but more than 100 properties could be at risk where the Holly Brook narrows near Dale Valley Road |
| Surface water and tide-locked drains | The whole city, worst in the Millbrook and Portswood catchments | Outfalls below high tide back up when heavy rain meets a high tide; about 4,500 properties at risk of 0.3 m of surface water in a 1 in 200 year storm |
| Groundwater | Reclaimed land by both rivers; Bassett Green, Daisy Dip, Townhill Park and Shirley | Springs broke out across the city after the wet 2013 to 2014 winter |
Both rivers rise on the chalk well outside the city and respond slowly to rain, so here the tide matters more than the flow. The Itchen reaches the city from Winchester, upstream. The Environment Agency's gauges at Woolston on the tide, Riverside Park on the Itchen and Millbrook on the Tanners Brook are on our live river levels map.
Southampton on the flood risk map: Redbridge to Woolston
Type a Southampton postcode into the map below for a first screen against Environment Agency data on the sea and rivers, surface water and reservoirs, or open our full flood risk map. Much of the waterfront, the docks above all, was reclaimed from the estuary, which is why the flood zones follow the Itchen bank and the port so closely.
How high the tide could reach in Southampton by 2115
The Level 2 Strategic Flood Risk Assessment (SFRA) that Southampton City Council published in 2017 modelled the 1 in 200 year tide, a 0.5% chance in any year, at Dock Head and then added sea level rise. Its results show the risk spreading from the Itchen bank towards the city centre and the main line.
| Period | Sea level at Dock Head | Areas the SFRA expects to flood |
|---|---|---|
| Present day (2015 to 2016) | 3.1 m AOD | Both banks of the Itchen north of the Itchen Bridge, Marine Parade in Chapel and Northam; gardens and some homes on Priory Road in St Denys and Oliver Road at Woodmill; parts of Millbrook and Redbridge by the Test |
| About 2055 | About 0.3 m above today | Spitfire Quay and the industrial land in Bevois Valley, the Portswood sewage works, Mayflower Park and the ferry terminal, and Northam Road either side of Northam Bridge |
| 2070 to 2085 | 3.6 m AOD by 2070 | Northam, St Mary's and Chapel almost entirely; Priory Road up to Oliver Road; Town Quay and West Quay Road; the main line overtopped at St Denys |
| By 2115 | 4.3 m AOD | Much of the city centre and the port, low-lying Bevois Valley behind the railway, Southampton Central station and the A33 |
These are strategic figures from a 2016 Environment Agency model. A site assessment takes the extreme level nearest the site from the Environment Agency, as the SFRA asks, and applies today's climate change allowances, which have changed since 2016. Even a 1 in 20 year tide, 2.95 m AOD at Dock Head, comes over the frontage at the Town Depot off Endle Street, Shamrock Quay, Drivers Wharf and Priory Road. Our guides to how a storm surge forms and what AOD means for floor levels explain the terms.
When Southampton flooded: Boxing Day 1999 to April 2024
Flooding in Southampton is mostly tidal, and the same streets keep appearing in the record: the council's 2011 preliminary flood risk assessment gathered 194 recorded flood events across the city. The dated events below come from council reports and records.
- Boxing Day 1999. A high tide flooded the upper Itchen, one of the events the council later set out when making the case for its coastal strategy.
- 10 March 2008. A spring tide and a storm arrived together. Water reached parts of St Denys and the Town Depot on the Itchen bank. The tide markers on the riverside walk at Priory Hard, Cobden Bridge and Woodmill carry a red line at that day's level.
- October 2012 to 2015. Council photographs record tidal flooding in Chapel Road in October 2012, at Woodmill in 2013, at Shamrock Quay and Lower William Street on 14 February 2014, in St Denys in 2014 and at Riverside Park in 2015.
- Winter 2013 to 2014. Away from the tide, the Itchen and Monks Brook flooded the A27 Mansbridge Road and businesses on Woodmill Lane, springs appeared across the city, and Bassett Green, Daisy Dip and Townhill Park reported groundwater.
- February 2020 and February 2021. High tides flooded Mount Pleasant Industrial Estate, and a year later Crosshouse Hard.
- 9 April 2024. On the spring tides that came with Storm Pierrick, Endle Street, Albert Road North and a basement in Chapel Road flooded. At Chapel Riverside, a recent development whose site-level protection was only meant to be interim, car parks and one non-residential ground floor block went under.
In St Denys the council fitted flood resistance and resilience measures to 27 properties in Priory Road in 2015 and to 30 more in 2017. Under its flood investigation protocol, a formal investigation follows when, among other triggers, five or more properties flood internally in one incident. Our guide to Section 19 flood investigations explains why some floods are investigated and others are not.
Flood defences in Southampton: what the halted Itchen scheme means
Southampton has no formal raised flood defences. Its waterfront is held by quay walls, sheet piles, embankments and private frontages of mixed height and condition, most of them owned by the businesses behind them. The River Itchen Flood Alleviation Scheme (RIFAS) was meant to be the first stretch of a continuous defence.
- The scheme. A 3.7 km wall on the west bank of the Itchen, from Mount Pleasant Industrial Estate north of Northam Bridge to just south of the Itchen Bridge, developed by the Environment Agency and Southampton City Council.
- Who is at risk now. More than 153 homes, including the Northam Estate, and 288 businesses on that bank face tidal flooding today, rising to over 1,150 homes and 900 businesses by 2120 as the sea rises.
- The cost. Estimates rose from £29.8m at the outline business case in early 2022 to about £96.7m by December 2024, against about £45.5m of identified funding.
- Halted in 2025. The Environment Agency withdrew its funding, confirmed at a meeting on 12 March 2025, which left a shortfall of over £50m. The council has paused the scheme while it looks for other ways to pay for flood resilience on the Itchen.
- The longer plan. The council's 2012 coastal strategy treats RIFAS as the first phase of about 22 km of continuous defence from Woodmill through St Denys, Northam and the city centre to Redbridge. Doing nothing, it estimated, would cost about £1.25bn in damage to homes and businesses over the century.
For a site today, the assessment has to work from the waterfront as it stands, not as the scheme would have left it. Even where a defence does go up, the Flood Map for Planning leaves it out, so the flood zone stays the same. Our guides to residual flood risk and why a site stays in a flood zone after new defences are built explain how that works.
Policies CS 23 and AP 15: what a flood risk assessment in Southampton must show
Southampton City Council decides applications against its Core Strategy, adopted in January 2010 and partly reviewed in March 2015, and, in the city centre, the City Centre Action Plan of March 2015. Both remain in force until the Southampton City Vision Local Plan replaces them. The council's 2025 plan timetable puts that plan's pre-submission consultation in December 2026 and its adoption in about September 2027.
- CS 23 Flood Risk. The council works with the Environment Agency on new development in the flood risk zones of the city centre and Northam, and expects each scheme to reach an appropriate degree of safety, allowing for the standard of defence and for sea level rise over its life.
- CS 20 and drainage. Sustainable drainage goes into every development, minor schemes included, unless it can be shown to be inappropriate on that site.
- AP 15: the defence line. Where the flood defence search zone crosses a city centre site, the development raises the land to form the defence, builds a front-line defence, or keeps land free for one later. Developers also pay towards the strategic defence through the Community Infrastructure Levy.
- AP 15: safe for its lifetime. A flood risk assessment, a dry route to Flood Zone 1 in the design flood, more vulnerable uses on the least exposed part of the site, habitable floors above the design flood level, resistance and resilience to the extreme level, a flood plan for warning and evacuation, and a refuge above the extreme level where floors cannot be raised.
- The SFRA's triggers. An assessment for every site over a hectare, for all new development in Flood Zones 2 and 3 including minor works and changes of use, and for Flood Zone 1 sites with critical drainage problems or exposed to other sources.
The national layer is chapter 18 of the NPPF as revised in August 2026. There, policy F4 decides whether an assessment is required, F5 and F6 hold the sequential and exception tests, and F8 points drainage at the 2025 National Standards for sustainable drainage. Our note on the August 2026 NPPF flood and drainage changes covers what moved.
The 2017 Level 2 SFRA remains the city's own flood evidence. It judges homes over a 100-year lifetime and expects habitable floors above the extreme flood level, with the 300 mm freeboard the Environment Agency asks for. It also says the council will not usually allow new basement homes in flood risk areas. The Partnership for South Hampshire's 2024 Level 1 SFRA covers Southampton among ten authorities, though its Southampton part had not been published by October 2026. As Lead Local Flood Authority, the council's flood risk team reviews applications alongside the Environment Agency and recommends refusal where a scheme is not shown to be safe.
A Southampton site on the Itchen bank or in the docks?
Tell us the address and what you plan, from a flat over a shop in Bevois Valley to a warehouse at Mount Pleasant. Our experienced flood risk consultants will come back within 60 minutes with a free, fixed-fee quote and no obligation.
Start a QuoteDrainage in Southampton: greenfield rates on brownfield land
Southampton's drainage rules were stricter than the national standards of the day. The council's Local SuDS Design Guidance of 2017 holds every site, land already built on included, to greenfield peak runoff, because surface water risk in the city is so high. Where that cannot be done, the rate has to be agreed with the council before the application goes in.
| Requirement | Southampton standard | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Order of discharge | Into the ground first, then a watercourse or the estuary, then a surface water sewer or highway drain, and a combined sewer last; never a foul sewer | Local SuDS Design Guidance; Core Strategy CS 20 |
| Peak runoff | No more than the greenfield rate for the 1 in 1 and 1 in 100 year storms, on brownfield as well as greenfield sites | Local SuDS Design Guidance |
| Runoff volume | For the 1 in 100 year, six-hour storm, as close to the greenfield volume as reasonably practicable | Local SuDS Design Guidance |
| Allowances | Climate change on the 1 in 100 year rainfall, plus 10% for urban creep | Local SuDS Design Guidance |
| Small sites | 5 litres a second where a lower rate would need an impractically small flow control | Local SuDS Design Guidance |
| Outfalls to the tide | Free discharge to the estuary can be accepted, but storage must hold the runoff while a high tide closes the outfall | Local SuDS Design Guidance |
| Sewer connections | Southern Water consulted on capacity; where the council's rate is lower, the council's rate applies | Local SuDS Design Guidance |
Infiltration is not a given here. London Clay underlies the north of the city, a sandier band of the Wittering Formation crosses the middle, and tidal flat deposits line the rivers, where reclaimed ground can hold water close to the surface. The SFRA also warns that outfalls in the Millbrook and Portswood catchments sit below high tide and back up when heavy rain and a high tide coincide. Our guide to BRE 365 infiltration testing explains the soakage test, and the ground conditions checker gives a first read for a postcode.
Does a conversion or extension need a flood risk assessment in Southampton?
Very often, yes. Because the SFRA names minor development and changes of use in Flood Zones 2 and 3, a flat conversion in Northam or an extension in St Denys can need an assessment as surely as a block of flats on a wharf. The table covers the usual cases.
| Proposal | Assessment needed? | What usually decides it |
|---|---|---|
| New homes or flats on the Itchen bank, in Chapel, Northam or St Mary's | Yes | The 1 in 200 year tide with sea level rise over 100 years, floor levels with 300 mm to spare, a dry route out, and land raised or kept for the defence line under AP 15 |
| Converting a building to flats or an HMO in Flood Zone 2 or 3, say in Bevois Valley or Portswood | Yes, as the SFRA names changes of use | Whether the new use is more vulnerable, where people sleep, and the flood plan |
| Extending a house in Flood Zone 2 or 3 in St Denys or Woolston | Yes, usually to the Environment Agency's standing advice | Floor levels and flood-resistant construction |
| A new basement flat | Rarely accepted in a flood risk area | The SFRA says the council will not usually allow new basement homes there |
| A site of one hectare or larger anywhere within the city boundary | Yes | Surface water, greenfield runoff and the drainage strategy |
| Commercial or port buildings in the docks or at Mount Pleasant | Yes in Flood Zones 2 and 3 | Access during a high tide, flood-resilient finishes and how the business carries on |
| A Flood Zone 1 site with surface water or groundwater problems, as near the Tanners Brook or in Bassett Green | Often | The surface water map, any flooding on record and the drainage hierarchy |
Our guides to converting a house into flats, a change of use to an HMO and basement conversions in a flood zone cover three common Southampton cases, and the Environment Agency standing advice applies to many extensions.
Reports for Southampton sites, from Northam's wharves to Lordshill
We work on Southampton sites for developers, architects, planning agents, landlords, homeowners, buyers and marine and port businesses. A waterside scheme here often needs three separate reports: one to show the site is safe, one to show it should be built there at all, and one to show where its rainwater goes.
- Tide, brooks and drains together. Where a Southampton site can flood from the estuary, a brook and a tide-locked drain in the same storm, a flood risk assessment has to deal with each source and with how they combine.
- Applications to Southampton City Council. From a conversion in Portswood to new homes on the Itchen bank, a flood risk assessment for planning sets out what CS 23 and AP 15 ask for, including floor levels, a dry route out and the flood plan.
- Before exchange on a Southampton home. Homes on Priory Road and around Woodmill have flooded from the tide more than once, and a flood risk survey for property purchase reads that record against the property's own levels.
- Unallocated land in the flood zones. New homes or another more vulnerable use in Flood Zone 2 or 3 on a site the plan has not allocated will usually need a sequential and exception test before the council can approve them.
- Clay, reclaimed land and tide-locked outfalls. With London Clay in the north and high groundwater by the rivers, a drainage strategy has to show where the water goes when a high tide shuts the outfall.
- Greenfield rates on brownfield sites. A surface water drainage strategy holds a Southampton redevelopment to greenfield peak runoff for the 1 in 1 and 1 in 100 year storms, with 10% added for urban creep, as the council's guidance requires.
- Conditions on a Southampton consent. Where drainage was left to a condition, discharge of drainage conditions means providing the calculations, details and maintenance plan the council needs before it signs the condition off.
- Getting people out before a tide. AP 15 expects a flood plan covering warning and evacuation, and a flood warning and evacuation plan ties it to the Itchen estuary warning area and a route to dry ground.
- Levels for the exact frontage. The SFRA quotes the tide only at Dock Head, so where the Itchen meets the tide at Woodmill or the Tanners Brook reaches the Test, flood modelling can give levels for the site itself.
- High water tables by the rivers. Reclaimed land near the Itchen and Test, and the springs at Bassett Green and Townhill Park after the 2013 to 2014 winter, make a groundwater flood risk assessment worth having for basements, deep foundations and soakaways.
- Cover for homes on the tidal frontage. Brokers pricing any of the more than 153 homes at tidal risk on the Itchen's west bank need evidence for the individual house, which a flood risk assessment for insurance provides from its own levels and flood history.
- Wharves, quays and industrial land. A buyer or lender looking at Mount Pleasant Industrial Estate, Shamrock Quay or the Town Depot, all flooded by the tide between 2008 and 2020, can have the site's exposure set out in commercial flood due diligence.
- Keeping waterside firms trading. With 288 businesses at risk on the west bank of the Itchen, a business continuity flood assessment plans for a tide that closes the yard, the access road or the power supply.
- Offices and commercial floorspace in the centre. The City Centre Action Plan promotes new offices and other commercial space, much of it inside the tidal flood zone, and a BREEAM flood risk assessment covers the flood risk credits of a BREEAM assessment in Southampton.
- Regeneration land on the Itchen. Before land is bought for the council's Itchen Riverside vision in Chapel, Northam, the Northam Estate or Drivers Wharf, a flood risk feasibility study tests whether tidal risk still leaves a workable site.
Flood warnings in Southampton and who to call
If floodwater puts anyone in danger, call 999, and call 105 if it has cut the power. Beyond that, who to contact in Southampton depends on where the water comes from: the Environment Agency for the tide and its warnings, the city council for surface water and groundwater, and Southern Water for the sewers.
| Organisation | Its role in Southampton | Contact |
|---|---|---|
| Emergency services | Rescue where floodwater puts life at risk | 999 |
| Electricity network | Power cuts during a flood | 105 |
| Environment Agency (Solent and South Downs area) | The tide in Southampton Water and the Test and Itchen estuaries, main rivers, and flood warnings | Floodline 0345 988 1188; live warnings and alerts for the city; register for free flood warnings |
| Flood warning areas in the city | The Itchen estuary (Northam, Millbank and Crosshouse); Ocean Village; the Tanners Brook from Lord's Hill to Millbrook; Mansbridge and Woodmill; the coast from Eling to Redbridge | Itchen estuary; Ocean Village; Tanners Brook; Mansbridge and Woodmill; Eling and Redbridge |
| Southampton City Council flood risk team | Surface water, groundwater and ordinary watercourses, flood investigations and the council's share of the Itchen scheme | Flood risk in Southampton |
| Southern Water | Water supply, public sewers and sewer flooding | Report a problem |
| Southern Regional Flood and Coastal Committee | Agrees flood and coastal spending across the region; put £0.5m of local levy towards RIFAS | Southern RFCC |
| Hampshire and Isle of Wight Local Resilience Forum | Emergency planning for floods across the city, the county and the Island | HIOW Prepared: flooding |
What Southampton buyers, landlords and developers ask about flood risk
Is a flood risk assessment in Southampton needed for a change of use or a conversion?
In Flood Zones 2 and 3, yes. The council's SFRA asks for an assessment for all new development there, minor works and changes of use included, and its flood team has said that any change of use in a present-day or future flood risk area needs one. A house turned into flats or an HMO in Bevois Valley or St Mary's is a typical case. In Flood Zone 1 a conversion usually needs one only if the site is over a hectare or has surface water or other flooding problems.
Does a flood risk assessment in Southampton cost more on the tidal frontage?
It can, because there is more to cover. A small extension under the Environment Agency's standing advice takes far less work than new homes on the Itchen bank, where tide levels with sea level rise, floor levels, a route out and the AP 15 defence line all need answers. Whatever the site, we quote a fixed fee, free and with no obligation, within 60 minutes of receiving the details.
Which council deals with drainage and surface water in Southampton?
Southampton City Council. As a unitary authority it is both the planning authority and the Lead Local Flood Authority, so it handles surface water, groundwater and ordinary watercourses and reviews drainage on major applications. Hampshire County Council has no flood role in the city. The Environment Agency covers the tide and main rivers, and Southern Water the public sewers.
Which parts of Southampton are most at risk from the tide?
The low ground either side of the Itchen north of the Itchen Bridge, Northam, Chapel and Marine Parade in particular, then Priory Road in St Denys and Oliver Road at Woodmill. On the Test side, parts of Millbrook and Redbridge are at risk now. With sea level rise the SFRA expects Mayflower Park, Town Quay and West Quay Road, and eventually much of the city centre and the port, to be reached.
Could rising seas put parts of Southampton underwater by 2050?
Not permanently, but extreme tides will reach further inland. The SFRA expects a 1 in 200 year tide around 2055, about 0.3 m higher than today, to reach Spitfire Quay, the industrial land in Bevois Valley, the Portswood sewage works, Mayflower Park and Northam Road. Each further rise takes the risk further into the city, which is why assessments for homes here look 100 years ahead.
What runoff rate will Southampton City Council accept from a brownfield site?
Usually the greenfield rate. The council's 2017 SuDS guidance requires peak runoff for the 1 in 1 and 1 in 100 year storms at or below greenfield on all sites, including land already built on, with climate change and 10% urban creep added. If that cannot be achieved, an alternative has to be agreed with the council before the application goes in, and runoff can never be more than it is now.
Does a Southampton site behind a quay wall still need an assessment?
Usually. The city has no formal raised flood defences, only quay walls and other structures of varying height and condition, many privately owned, and the Flood Map for Planning draws the flood zone as if none were there. The assessment checks the level the wall gives, what happens if it is overtopped, and whether AP 15 needs the site to help form the future defence line.
Is the River Itchen Flood Alleviation Scheme still going ahead?
Not for now. The council paused it in 2025 after the Environment Agency withdrew its funding and left a shortfall of over £50m. It has said it is looking at other ways to improve flood resilience on the Itchen. A site in Northam or Chapel should be assessed against the waterfront as it stands today.
How do I find out if a house in Southampton sits in a flood risk area?
Start with the postcode in the map on this page or the government's long-term flood risk service, then look at the Environment Agency's warning areas for the Itchen estuary, Ocean Village and the Tanners Brook. Those show the zone and the modelled risk, but not the building's floor level or its flood history, which a pre-purchase survey adds.
Can I prepare the flood risk assessment for a Southampton site myself?
For a small house extension in Flood Zone 2 or 3, possibly. The Environment Agency's standing advice lists what to provide, mainly floor levels and flood-resistant construction, and an owner or architect can set those out. New homes, a change of use or anything on the tidal frontage are different: the council and the Environment Agency expect tide levels, climate change, floor levels and an evacuation plan, set out by someone who can defend them.
Buying or building near Southampton Water?
Exchange dates and validation letters do not wait for the tide tables. Send us the address and the deadline, and one of our experienced flood risk consultants will reply within 60 minutes with a free, no-obligation, fixed-fee quote.
Start a QuoteOur chartered flood risk consultants take calls about Southampton sites on 01293 214444, and enquiries@unda.co.uk reaches the same team. Each report is signed off by a senior consultant before it is issued, and Unda Consulting Limited is also a CIWEM Business Partner. Nearby, we also cover Portsmouth on Portsea Island and the Isle of Wight across the Solent; the full list is on every area we cover.